Before you listen to this episode, can you quantify how useful you expect it to be? That's a prior! And "priors" is a word that gets used a lot in this discussion with Michael Kaminsky as we try to demystify the world of Bayesian statistics. Luckily, you can just listen to the episode once and then update your expectation—no need to simulate listening to the show a few thousand times or crunch any numbers whatsoever. The most important takeaway is that you'll know you've achieved Bayesian clarity when you come to realize that human beings are naturally Bayesian, and the underlying principles behind Bayesian statistics are inherently intuitive. This episode's Measurement Bite from show sponsor Recast is a brief explanation of statistical significance (and why shorthanding it is problematic…and why confidence intervals are generally more practically useful in business than p-values) from Michael Kaminsky! For complete show notes, including links to items mentioned in this episode and a transcript of the show, visit the show page.

As the world turns, a couple of things happen: 1) we grow and learn, and 2) the world changes. On this episode, inspired by a job interview question, the hosts walked through a range of thoughts and beliefs they had at one time that they no longer have today. Analytics intake forms are good…or bad? Analytics centers of excellence are the sign of a mature organization…or they're just one of many potential options? Privacy concerns are something no one really cares about…or they are something everyone cares deeply about? Voices were raised. Light profanity was employed. Laughter ensued. This episode's Measurement Bite from show sponsor Recast is a brief explanation of statistical significance (and why shorthanding it is problematic…and why confidence intervals are often more practically useful in business than p-values) from Michael Kaminsky. For complete show notes, including links to items mentioned in this episode and a transcript of the show, visit the show page.

It's been said that, in this world, nothing is certain except death and taxes, so why is it so hard to communicate uncertainty to stakeholders when delivering an analysis? Many stakeholders think an analysis is intended to deliver an absolute truth; that if they have just enough data, a smart analyst, and some fancy techniques, that the decision they should make will emerge! In this episode, Tim, Moe, and Val sat down with Michael Kaminsky, co-founder of Recast, to discuss strategies such as scenario planning and triangulation to help navigate these tricky conversations. Get comfortable with communicating the strengths and drawbacks of your different methodological approaches to empower decision making from your stakeholders! For complete show notes, including links to items mentioned in this episode and a transcript of the show, visit the show page.