Perform time series analysis and forecasting confidently with this Python code bank and reference manual Purchase of the print or Kindle book includes a free PDF eBook Key Features Explore up-to-date forecasting and anomaly detection techniques using statistical, machine learning, and deep learning algorithms Learn different techniques for evaluating, diagnosing, and optimizing your models Work with a variety of complex data with trends, multiple seasonal patterns, and irregularities Book Description To use time series data to your advantage, you need to be well-versed in data preparation, analysis, and forecasting. This fully updated second edition includes chapters on probabilistic models and signal processing techniques, as well as new content on transformers. Additionally, you will leverage popular libraries and their latest releases covering Pandas, Polars, Sktime, stats models, stats forecast, Darts, and Prophet for time series with new and relevant examples. You'll start by ingesting time series data from various sources and formats, and learn strategies for handling missing data, dealing with time zones and custom business days, and detecting anomalies using intuitive statistical methods. Further, you'll explore forecasting using classical statistical models (Holt-Winters, SARIMA, and VAR). Learn practical techniques for handling non-stationary data, using power transforms, ACF and PACF plots, and decomposing time series data with multiple seasonal patterns. Then we will move into more advanced topics such as building ML and DL models using TensorFlow and PyTorch, and explore probabilistic modeling techniques. In this part, you’ll also learn how to evaluate, compare, and optimize models, making sure that you finish this book well-versed in wrangling data with Python. What you will learn Understand what makes time series data different from other data Apply imputation and interpolation strategies to handle missing data Implement an array of models for univariate and multivariate time series Plot interactive time series visualizations using hvPlot Explore state-space models and the unobserved components model (UCM) Detect anomalies using statistical and machine learning methods Forecast complex time series with multiple seasonal patterns Use conformal prediction for constructing prediction intervals for time series Who this book is for This book is for data analysts, business analysts, data scientists, data engineers, and Python developers who want practical Python recipes for time series analysis and forecasting techniques. Fundamental knowledge of Python programming is a prerequisite. Prior experience working with time series data to solve business problems will also help you to better utilize and apply the different recipes in this book.

Bayesian optimization helps pinpoint the best configuration for your machine learning models with speed and accuracy. Put its advanced techniques into practice with this hands-on guide. In Bayesian Optimization in Action you will learn how to: Train Gaussian processes on both sparse and large data sets Combine Gaussian processes with deep neural networks to make them flexible and expressive Find the most successful strategies for hyperparameter tuning Navigate a search space and identify high-performing regions Apply Bayesian optimization to cost-constrained, multi-objective, and preference optimization Implement Bayesian optimization with PyTorch, GPyTorch, and BoTorch Bayesian Optimization in Action shows you how to optimize hyperparameter tuning, A/B testing, and other aspects of the machine learning process by applying cutting-edge Bayesian techniques. Using clear language, illustrations, and concrete examples, this book proves that Bayesian optimization doesn’t have to be difficult! You’ll get in-depth insights into how Bayesian optimization works and learn how to implement it with cutting-edge Python libraries. The book’s easy-to-reuse code samples let you hit the ground running by plugging them straight into your own projects. About the Technology In machine learning, optimization is about achieving the best predictions—shortest delivery routes, perfect price points, most accurate recommendations—in the fewest number of steps. Bayesian optimization uses the mathematics of probability to fine-tune ML functions, algorithms, and hyperparameters efficiently when traditional methods are too slow or expensive. About the Book Bayesian Optimization in Action teaches you how to create efficient machine learning processes using a Bayesian approach. In it, you’ll explore practical techniques for training large datasets, hyperparameter tuning, and navigating complex search spaces. This interesting book includes engaging illustrations and fun examples like perfecting coffee sweetness, predicting weather, and even debunking psychic claims. You’ll learn how to navigate multi-objective scenarios, account for decision costs, and tackle pairwise comparisons. What's Inside Gaussian processes for sparse and large datasets Strategies for hyperparameter tuning Identify high-performing regions Examples in PyTorch, GPyTorch, and BoTorch About the Reader For machine learning practitioners who are confident in math and statistics. About the Author Quan Nguyen is a research assistant at Washington University in St. Louis. He writes for the Python Software Foundation and has authored several books on Python programming. Quotes Using a hands-on approach, clear diagrams, and real-world examples, Quan lifts the veil off the complexities of Bayesian optimization. - From the Foreword by Luis Serrano, Author of Grokking Machine Learning This book teaches Bayesian optimization, starting from its most basic components. You’ll find enough depth to make you comfortable with the tools and methods and enough code to do real work very quickly. - From the Foreword by David Sweet, Author of Experimentation for Engineers Combines modern computational frameworks with visualizations and infographics you won’t find anywhere else. It gives readers the confidence to apply Bayesian optimization to real world problems! - Ravin Kumar, Google

Explore the latest Python tools and techniques to help you tackle the world of data acquisition and analysis. You'll review scientific computing with NumPy, visualization with matplotlib, and machine learning with scikit-learn. This third edition is fully updated for the latest version of Python and its related libraries, and includes coverage of social media data analysis, image analysis with OpenCV, and deep learning libraries. Each chapter includes multiple examples demonstrating how to work with each library. At its heart lies the coverage of pandas, for high-performance, easy-to-use data structures and tools for data manipulation Author Fabio Nelli expertly demonstrates using Python for data processing, management, and information retrieval. Later chapters apply what you've learned to handwriting recognition and extending graphical capabilities with the JavaScript D3 library. Whether you are dealing with sales data, investment data, medical data, web page usage, or other data sets, Python Data Analytics, Third Edition is an invaluable reference with its examples of storing, accessing, and analyzing data. What You'll Learn Understand the core concepts of data analysis and the Python ecosystem Go in depth with pandas for reading, writing, and processing data Use tools and techniques for data visualization and image analysis Examine popular deep learning libraries Keras, Theano,TensorFlow, and PyTorch Who This Book Is For Experienced Python developers who need to learn about Pythonic tools for data analysis

Modern systems contain multi-core CPUs and GPUs that have the potential for parallel computing. But many scientific Python tools were not designed to leverage this parallelism. With this short but thorough resource, data scientists and Python programmers will learn how the Dask open source library for parallel computing provides APIs that make it easy to parallelize PyData libraries including NumPy, pandas, and scikit-learn. Authors Holden Karau and Mika Kimmins show you how to use Dask computations in local systems and then scale to the cloud for heavier workloads. This practical book explains why Dask is popular among industry experts and academics and is used by organizations that include Walmart, Capital One, Harvard Medical School, and NASA. With this book, you'll learn: What Dask is, where you can use it, and how it compares with other tools How to use Dask for batch data parallel processing Key distributed system concepts for working with Dask Methods for using Dask with higher-level APIs and building blocks How to work with integrated libraries such as scikit-learn, pandas, and PyTorch How to use Dask with GPUs

Explore the latest Python tools and techniques to help you tackle the world of data acquisition and analysis. You'll review scientific computing with NumPy, visualization with matplotlib, and machine learning with scikit-learn. This revision is fully updated with new content on social media data analysis, image analysis with OpenCV, and deep learning libraries. Each chapter includes multiple examples demonstrating how to work with each library. At its heart lies the coverage of pandas, for high-performance, easy-to-use data structures and tools for data manipulation Author Fabio Nelli expertly demonstrates using Python for data processing, management, and information retrieval. Later chapters apply what you've learned to handwriting recognition and extending graphical capabilities with the JavaScript D3 library. Whether you are dealing with sales data, investment data, medical data, web page usage, or other data sets, Python Data Analytics, Second Edition is an invaluable reference with its examples of storing, accessing, and analyzing data. What You'll Learn Understand the core concepts of data analysis and the Python ecosystem Go in depth with pandas for reading, writing, and processing data Use tools and techniques for data visualization and image analysis Examine popular deep learning libraries Keras, Theano,TensorFlow, and PyTorch Who This Book Is For Experienced Python developers who need to learn about Pythonic tools for data analysis