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Consumption-Based Forecasting and Planning

Discover a new, demand-centric framework for forecasting and demand planning In Consumption-Based Forecasting and Planning, thought leader and forecasting expert Charles W. Chase delivers a practical and novel approach to retail and consumer goods companies demand planning process. The author demonstrates why a demand-centric approach relying on point-of-sale and syndicated scanner data is necessary for success in the new digital economy. The book showcases short- and mid-term demand sensing and focuses on disruptions to the marketplace caused by the digital economy and COVID-19. You’ll also learn: How to improve demand forecasting and planning accuracy, reduce inventory costs, and minimize waste and stock-outs What is driving shifting consumer demand patterns, including factors like price, promotions, in-store merchandising, and unplanned and unexpected events How to apply analytics and machine learning to your forecasting challenges using proven approaches and tactics described throughout the book via several case studies. Perfect for executives, directors, and managers at retailers, consumer products companies, and other manufacturers, Consumption-Based Forecasting and Planning will also earn a place in the libraries of sales, marketing, supply chain, and finance professionals seeking to sharpen their understanding of how to predict future consumer demand.

Knowledge Graphs

Applying knowledge in the right context is the most powerful lever businesses can use to become agile, creative, and resilient. Knowledge graphs add context, meaning, and utility to business data. They drive intelligence into data for unparalleled automation and visibility into processes, products, and customers. Businesses use knowledge graphs to anticipate downstream effects, make decisions based on all relevant information, and quickly respond to dynamic markets. In this report for chief information and data officers, Jesus Barassa, Amy E. Hodler, and Jim Webber from Neo4j show how to use knowledge graphs to gain insights, reveal a flexible and intuitive representation of complex data relationships, and make better predictions based on holistic information. Explore knowledge graph mechanics and common organizing principles Build and exploit a connected representation of your enterprise data environment Use decisioning knowledge graphs to explore the advantages of adding relationships to data analytics and data science Conduct virtual testing using software versions of real-world processes Deploy knowledge graphs for more trusted data, higher accuracies, and better reasoning for contextual AI

Item Response Theory

A complete discussion of fundamental and advanced topics in Item Response Theory written by pioneers in the field In Item Response Theory, accomplished psychometricians Darrell Bock and Robert Gibbons deliver a comprehensive and up-to-date exploration of the theoretical foundations and applications of Item Response Theory (IRT). Covering both unidimensional and multidimensional IRT, as well as related adaptive test administration of previously calibrated item banks, the book addresses the growing need for understanding of this topic as the use of IRT spreads to other fields. The first book on the topic that offers a complete and unified treatment of its subject, Item Response Theory prepares researchers and students to understand and apply IRT and multidimensional IRT to fields like education, mental health and marketing. Accessible to first year-graduate students with a foundation in the behavioral or social sciences, basic statistics, and generalized linear models, the book walks readers through everything from the logic of IRT to cutting edge applications of the technique. Readers will also benefit from the inclusion of: • A thorough introduction to the foundations of Item Response Theory, including its logic and origins, model-based measurement, psychological scaling, and classical test theory • An exploration of selected mathematical and statistical results, including points, point sets, and set operations, probability, sampling, and joint, conditional, and marginal probability • Discussions of unidimensional and multidimensional IRT models, including item parameter estimation with binary and polytomous data • Analysis of dimensionality, differential item functioning, and multiple group IRT Perfect for graduate students and researchers studying and working with psychometrics in psychology, quantitative psychology, educational measurement, marketing, and statistics, Item Response Theory will also benefit researchers interested in patient reported outcomes in health research.

Essentials of Data Science and Analytics

Data science and analytics have emerged as the most desired fields in driving business decisions. Using the techniques and methods of data science, decision makers can uncover hidden patterns in their data, develop algorithms and models that help improve processes and make key business decisions. Data science is a data driven decision making approach that uses several different areas and disciplines with a purpose of extracting insights and knowledge from structured and unstructured data. The algorithms and models of data science along with machine learning and predictive modeling are widely used in solving business problems and predicting future outcomes. This book combines the key concepts of data science and analytics to help you gain a practical understanding of these fields. The four different sections of the book are divided into chapters that explain the core of data science. Given the booming interest in data science, this book is timely and informative.

Advanced Forecasting with Python: With State-of-the-Art-Models Including LSTMs, Facebook’s Prophet, and Amazon’s DeepAR

Cover all the machine learning techniques relevant for forecasting problems, ranging from univariate and multivariate time series to supervised learning, to state-of-the-art deep forecasting models such as LSTMs, recurrent neural networks, Facebook’s open-source Prophet model, and Amazon’s DeepAR model. Rather than focus on a specific set of models, this book presents an exhaustive overview of all the techniques relevant to practitioners of forecasting. It begins by explaining the different categories of models that are relevant for forecasting in a high-level language. Next, it covers univariate and multivariate time series models followed by advanced machine learning and deep learning models. It concludes with reflections on model selection such as benchmark scores vs. understandability of models vs. compute time, and automated retraining and updating of models. Each of the models presented in this book is covered in depth, with an intuitive simple explanation ofthe model, a mathematical transcription of the idea, and Python code that applies the model to an example data set. Reading this book will add a competitive edge to your current forecasting skillset. The book is also adapted to those who have recently started working on forecasting tasks and are looking for an exhaustive book that allows them to start with traditional models and gradually move into more and more advanced models. What You Will Learn Carry out forecasting with Python Mathematically and intuitively understand traditional forecasting models and state-of-the-art machine learning techniques Gain the basics of forecasting and machine learning, including evaluation of models, cross-validation, and back testing Select the right model for the right use case Who This Book Is For The advanced nature of the later chapters makes the book relevant for appliedexperts working in the domain of forecasting, as the models covered have been published only recently. Experts working in the domain will want to update their skills as traditional models are regularly being outperformed by newer models.

MATLAB For Dummies, 2nd Edition

Go from total MATLAB newbie to plotting graphs and solving equations in a flash! MATLAB is one of the most powerful and commonly used tools in the STEM field. But did you know it doesn’t take an advanced degree or a ton of computer experience to learn it? MATLAB For Dummies is the roadmap you’ve been looking for to simplify and explain this feature-filled tool. This handy reference walks you through every step of the way as you learn the MATLAB language and environment inside-and-out. Starting with straightforward basics before moving on to more advanced material like Live Functions and Live Scripts, this easy-to-read guide shows you how to make your way around MATLAB with screenshots and newly updated procedures. It includes: A comprehensive introduction to installing MATLAB, using its interface, and creating and saving your first file Fully updated to include the 2020 and 2021 updates to MATLAB, with all-new screenshots and up-to-date procedures Enhanced debugging procedures and use of the Symbolic Math Toolbox Brand new instruction on working with Live Scripts and Live Functions, designing classes, creating apps, and building projects Intuitive walkthroughs for MATLAB’s advanced features, including importing and exporting data and publishing your work Perfect for STEM students and new professionals ready to master one of the most powerful tools in the fields of engineering, mathematics, and computing, MATLAB For Dummies is the simplest way to go from complete newbie to power user faster than you would have thought possible.

Tableau Desktop Pocket Reference

In a crowded field of data visualization and analytics tools, Tableau Desktop has emerged as the clear leader. This is partly due to its ease of use, but once you dive into Tableau's extensive feature set, you'll understand just how powerful and flexible this software can be for your business or organization. With this handy pocket reference, author Ryan Sleeper (Innovative Tableau) shows you how to translate the vast amounts of data into useful information. Tableau has done an amazing job of making valuable insights accessible to analysts and executives who would otherwise need to rely on IT. This book quickly guides you through Tableau Desktop's learning curve. You'll learn: How to shape data for use with Tableau Desktop How to create the most effective chart types Core concepts including discrete versus continuous Must-know technical features including filters, parameters, and sets Key syntax for creating the most useful analyses How to bring it all together with dashboardsAnd more!

Quantile Regression

QUANTILE REGRESSION A thorough presentation of Quantile Regression designed to help readers obtain richer information from data analyses The conditional least-square or mean-regression (MR) analysis is the quantitative research method used to model and analyze the relationships between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables, where each equation estimation of a regression can give only a single regression function or fitted values variable. As an advanced mean regression analysis, each estimation equation of the mean-regression can be used directly to estimate the conditional quantile regression (QR), which can quickly present the statistical results of a set nine QR(τ)s for τ(tau)s from 0.1 up to 0.9 to predict detail distribution of the response or criterion variable. QR is an important analytical tool in many disciplines such as statistics, econometrics, ecology, healthcare, and engineering. Quantile Regression: Applications on Experimental and Cross Section Data Using EViews provides examples of statistical results of various QR analyses based on experimental and cross section data of a variety of regression models. The author covers the applications of one-way, two-way, and n-way ANOVA quantile regressions, QRs with multi numerical predictors, heterogeneous QRs, and latent variables QRs, amongst others. Throughout the text, readers learn how to develop the best possible quantile regressions and how to conduct more advanced analysis using methods such as the quantile process, the Wald test, the redundant variables test, residual analysis, the stability test, and the omitted variables test. This rigorous volume: Describes how QR can provide a more detailed picture of the relationships between independent variables and the quantiles of the criterion variable, by using the least-square regression Presents the applications of the test for any quantile of any numerical response or ­criterion variable Explores relationship of QR with heterogeneity: how an independent variable affects a dependent variable Offers expert guidance on forecasting and how to draw the best conclusions from the results obtained Provides a step-by-step estimation method and guide to enable readers to conduct QR analysis using their own data sets Includes a detailed comparison of conditional QR and conditional mean regression Quantile Regression: Applications on Experimental and Cross Section Data Using EViews is a highly useful resource for students and lecturers in statistics, data analysis, econometrics, engineering, ecology, and healthcare, particularly those specializing in regression and quantitative data analysis.

Nature-Inspired Computing Paradigms in Systems

Nature-Inspired Computing Paradigms in Systems: Reliability, Availability, Maintainability, Safety and Cost (RAMS+C) and Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) covers several areas that include bioinspired techniques and optimization approaches for system dependability. The book addresses the issue of integration and interaction of the bioinspired techniques in system dependability computing so that intelligent decisions, design, and architectures can be supported. It brings together these emerging areas under the umbrella of bio- and nature-inspired computational intelligence. The primary audience of this book includes experts and developers who want to deepen their understanding of bioinspired computing in basic theory, algorithms, and applications. The book is also intended to be used as a textbook for masters and doctoral students who want to enhance their knowledge and understanding of the role of bioinspired techniques in system dependability. Provides the latest review Covers various nature-inspired techniques applied to RAMS+C and PHM problems Includes techniques applied to new applications

Behavioral Data Analysis with R and Python

Harness the full power of the behavioral data in your company by learning tools specifically designed for behavioral data analysis. Common data science algorithms and predictive analytics tools treat customer behavioral data, such as clicks on a website or purchases in a supermarket, the same as any other data. Instead, this practical guide introduces powerful methods specifically tailored for behavioral data analysis. Advanced experimental design helps you get the most out of your A/B tests, while causal diagrams allow you to tease out the causes of behaviors even when you can't run experiments. Written in an accessible style for data scientists, business analysts, and behavioral scientists, thispractical book provides complete examples and exercises in R and Python to help you gain more insight from your data--immediately. Understand the specifics of behavioral data Explore the differences between measurement and prediction Learn how to clean and prepare behavioral data Design and analyze experiments to drive optimal business decisions Use behavioral data to understand and measure cause and effect Segment customers in a transparent and insightful way

Expert Data Modeling with Power BI

Expert Data Modeling with Power BI provides a comprehensive guide to creating effective and optimized data models using Microsoft Power BI. This book will teach you everything you need to know, from connecting to data sources to setting up complex models that enable insightful reporting and business analytics. What this Book will help me do Gain expertise in implementing virtual tables and time intelligence functionalities in Power BI's DAX language. Identify and correctly set up Dimension and Fact tables using the Power Query Editor interface. Master advanced data preparation techniques to build efficient Star Schemas for modeling. Apply best practices for preparing and modeling data for real-world business cases. Become proficient in advanced features like aggregations, incremental refresh, and row-level security. Author(s) Soheil Bakhshi is a seasoned Power BI expert and author with years of experience in business intelligence and analytics. His practical knowledge of data modeling and approachable writing style make complex concepts understandable. Soheil's passion for empowering users to harness the full potential of Power BI is evident through his clear guidance and real-world examples. Who is it for? This book is perfect for business intelligence developers, data analysts, and advanced users of Power BI who aim to deepen their understanding of data modeling. It assumes a familiarity with Power BI's basic functions and core concepts like Star Schema. If you're looking to refine your modeling practices and create versatile, dynamic solutions, this resource is for you.

JMP for Mixed Models

Discover the power of mixed models with JMP and JMP Pro. Mixed models are now the mainstream method of choice for analyzing experimental data. Why? They are arguably the most straightforward and powerful way to handle correlated observations in designed experiments. Reaching well beyond standard linear models, mixed models enable you to make accurate and precise inferences about your experiments and to gain deeper understanding of sources of signal and noise in the system under study. Well-formed fixed and random effects generalize well and help you make the best data-driven decisions. JMP for Mixed Models brings together two of the strongest traditions in SAS software: mixed models and JMP. JMP’s groundbreaking philosophy of tight integration of statistics with dynamic graphics is an ideal milieu within which to learn and apply mixed models, also known as hierarchical linear or multilevel models. If you are a scientist or engineer, the methods described herein can revolutionize how you analyze experimental data without the need to write code. Inside you’ll find a rich collection of examples and a step-by-step approach to mixed model mastery. Topics include: Learning how to appropriately recognize, set up, and interpret fixed and random effects Extending analysis of variance (ANOVA) and linear regression to numerous mixed model designs Understanding how degrees of freedom work using Skeleton ANOVA Analyzing randomized block, split-plot, longitudinal, and repeated measures designs Introducing more advanced methods such as spatial covariance and generalized linear mixed models Simulating mixed models to assess power and other important sampling characteristics Providing a solid framework for understanding statistical modeling in general Improving perspective on modern dilemmas around Bayesian methods, p-values, and causal inference

Intermittent Demand Forecasting

INTERMITTENT DEMAND FORECASTING The first text to focus on the methods and approaches of intermittent, rather than fast, demand forecasting Intermittent Demand Forecasting is for anyone who is interested in improving forecasts of intermittent demand products, and enhancing the management of inventories. Whether you are a practitioner, at the sharp end of demand planning, a software designer, a student, an academic teaching operational research or operations management courses, or a researcher in this field, we hope that the book will inspire you to rethink demand forecasting. If you do so, then you can contribute towards significant economic and environmental benefits. No prior knowledge of intermittent demand forecasting or inventory management is assumed in this book. The key formulae are accompanied by worked examples to show how they can be implemented in practice. For those wishing to understand the theory in more depth, technical notes are provided at the end of each chapter, as well as an extensive and up-to-date collection of references for further study. Software developments are reviewed, to give an appreciation of the current state of the art in commercial and open source software. “Intermittent demand forecasting may seem like a specialized area but actually is at the center of sustainability efforts to consume less and to waste less. Boylan and Syntetos have done a superb job in showing how improvements in inventory management are pivotal in achieving this. Their book covers both the theory and practice of intermittent demand forecasting and my prediction is that it will fast become the bible of the field.” — Spyros Makridakis, Professor, University of Nicosia, and Director, Institute for the Future and the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center (MOFC). “We have been able to support our clients by adopting many of the ideas discussed in this excellent book, and implementing them in our software. I am sure that these ideas will be equally helpful for other supply chain software vendors and for companies wanting to update and upgrade their capabilities in forecasting and inventory management.” — Suresh Acharya, VP, Research and Development, Blue Yonder. “As product variants proliferate and the pace of business quickens, more and more items have intermittent demand. Boylan and Syntetos have long been leaders in extending forecasting and inventory methods to accommodate this new reality. Their book gathers and clarifies decades of research in this area, and explains how practitioners can exploit this knowledge to make their operations more efficient and effective.” — Thomas R. Willemain, Professor Emeritus, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute.

Mastering Tableau 2021 - Third Edition

Tableau 2021 brings a wide range of tools and techniques for mastering data visualization and business intelligence. In this book, you will delve into the advanced methodologies to fully utilize Tableau's capabilities. Whether you're dealing with geo-spatial, time-series analytics, or complex dashboards, this resource provides expertise through real-world data challenges. What this Book will help me do Draw connections between multiple databases and create insightful Tableau dashboards. Master advanced data visualization techniques that lead to impactful storytelling. Understand Tableau's integration with programming languages such as Python and R. Analyze datasets with time-series and geo-spatial methods to gain predictive insights. Leverage Tableau Prep Builder for efficient data cleaning and transformation processes. Author(s) Marleen Meier and David Baldwin are seasoned professionals in business intelligence and data analytics. They bring years of practical experience and have helped numerous organizations worldwide transform their data visualization strategies using Tableau. Their collaborative approach ensures a comprehensive, beginner to advanced learning experience. Who is it for? This book is perfect for business intelligence analysts, data analysts, and industry professionals who are already familiar with Tableau's basics and wish to expand their knowledge. It provides advanced techniques and implementations of Tableau for improving data storytelling and dashboard performance. Readers seeking to connect Tableau with external programming tools will also greatly benefit from this guide.

Pro Power BI Theme Creation: JSON Stylesheets for Automated Dashboard Formatting

Use JSON theme files to standardize the look of Power BI dashboards and reports. This book shows how you can create theme files using the Power BI Desktop application to define high-level formatting attributes for dashboards as well as how to tailor detailed formatting specifications for individual dashboard elements in JSON files. Standardize the look of your dashboards and apply formatting consistently over all your reports. The techniques in this book provide you with tight control over the presentation of all aspects of the Power BI dashboards and reports that you create. Power BI theme files use JSON (JavaScript Object Notation) as their structure, so the book includes a brief introduction to JSON as well as how it applies to Power BI themes. The book further includes a complete reference to all the current formatting definitions and JSON structures that are at your disposal for creating JSON theme files. Finally, the book includes dozens of theme files, from the simple to the most complex, that you can adopt and adapt to suit your own requirements. What You Will Learn Produce designer output without manually formatting every individual visual in a Power BI dashboard Standardize presentation for families of dashboard types Switch presentation styles in a couple of clicks Save dozens, or hundreds, of hours laboriously formatting dashboards Define enterprise-wide presentation standards Retroactively apply standard styles to existing dashboards Who This Book Is For Power BI users who want to save time by defining standardized formatting for their dashboards and reports, IT professionals who want to create corporate standards of dashboard presentation, and marketing and communication specialists who want to set organizational standards for dashboard delivery

Interactive Dashboards and Data Apps with Plotly and Dash

This book, "Interactive Dashboards and Data Apps with Plotly and Dash", is a practical guide to building dynamic dashboards and applications using the Dash Python framework. It covers creating visualizations, integrating interactive controls, and deploying the apps, all without requiring JavaScript expertise. What this Book will help me do Master creating interactive data dashboards using Dash and Plotly. Understand how to integrate controls such as sliders and dropdowns into apps. Learn to use Plotly Express for visually representing data with ease. Develop capabilities to deploy a fully functional web app for data interaction. Understand how to use multi-page configurations and URLs for advanced apps. Author(s) None Dabbas is a seasoned Python developer with extensive expertise in data visualization and full-stack development. Drawing from real-world experience, None brings a practical approach to teaching, ensuring that learners understand not only how to build applications but why the approach works. Who is it for? This book is ideal for data analysts, engineers, and developers looking to enhance their visualization capabilities. If you are familiar with Python and have basic HTML skills, you will find this book accessible and rewarding. Beginners looking to explore advanced dashboard creation without JavaScript will also appreciate the clear approach.

The Big Picture: How to Use Data Visualization to Make Better Decisions—Faster

Not a data expert? Here’s an engaging and entertaining guide to interpreting and drawing insights from any chart, graph, or other data visualization you’ll encounter. You’re a business professional, not a data scientist. How do you make heads or tails of the data visualizations that come across your desk—let alone make critical business decisions based on the information they’re designed to convey? In The Big Picture, top data visualization consultant Steve Wexler provides the tools for developing the graphical literacy you need to understand the data visualizations that are flooding your inbox—and put that data to use. Packed with the best four-color examples created in Excel, Tableau, Power BI, and Qlik, among others, this one-stop resource empowers you to extract the most important information from data visualizations quickly and accurately, act on key insights, solve problems, and make the right decisions for your organization every time.

Think Bayes, 2nd Edition

If you know how to program, you're ready to tackle Bayesian statistics. With this book, you'll learn how to solve statistical problems with Python code instead of mathematical formulas, using discrete probability distributions rather than continuous mathematics. Once you get the math out of the way, the Bayesian fundamentals will become clearer and you'll begin to apply these techniques to real-world problems. Bayesian statistical methods are becoming more common and more important, but there aren't many resources available to help beginners. Based on undergraduate classes taught by author Allen B. Downey, this book's computational approach helps you get a solid start. Use your programming skills to learn and understand Bayesian statistics Work with problems involving estimation, prediction, decision analysis, evidence, and Bayesian hypothesis testing Get started with simple examples, using coins, dice, and a bowl of cookies Learn computational methods for solving real-world problems