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Cover all the machine learning techniques relevant for forecasting problems, ranging from univariate and multivariate time series to supervised learning, to state-of-the-art deep forecasting models such as LSTMs, recurrent neural networks, Facebook’s open-source Prophet model, and Amazon’s DeepAR model. Rather than focus on a specific set of models, this book presents an exhaustive overview of all the techniques relevant to practitioners of forecasting. It begins by explaining the different categories of models that are relevant for forecasting in a high-level language. Next, it covers univariate and multivariate time series models followed by advanced machine learning and deep learning models. It concludes with reflections on model selection such as benchmark scores vs. understandability of models vs. compute time, and automated retraining and updating of models. Each of the models presented in this book is covered in depth, with an intuitive simple explanation ofthe model, a mathematical transcription of the idea, and Python code that applies the model to an example data set. Reading this book will add a competitive edge to your current forecasting skillset. The book is also adapted to those who have recently started working on forecasting tasks and are looking for an exhaustive book that allows them to start with traditional models and gradually move into more and more advanced models. What You Will Learn Carry out forecasting with Python Mathematically and intuitively understand traditional forecasting models and state-of-the-art machine learning techniques Gain the basics of forecasting and machine learning, including evaluation of models, cross-validation, and back testing Select the right model for the right use case Who This Book Is For The advanced nature of the later chapters makes the book relevant for appliedexperts working in the domain of forecasting, as the models covered have been published only recently. Experts working in the domain will want to update their skills as traditional models are regularly being outperformed by newer models.

Go from total MATLAB newbie to plotting graphs and solving equations in a flash! MATLAB is one of the most powerful and commonly used tools in the STEM field. But did you know it doesn’t take an advanced degree or a ton of computer experience to learn it? MATLAB For Dummies is the roadmap you’ve been looking for to simplify and explain this feature-filled tool. This handy reference walks you through every step of the way as you learn the MATLAB language and environment inside-and-out. Starting with straightforward basics before moving on to more advanced material like Live Functions and Live Scripts, this easy-to-read guide shows you how to make your way around MATLAB with screenshots and newly updated procedures. It includes: A comprehensive introduction to installing MATLAB, using its interface, and creating and saving your first file Fully updated to include the 2020 and 2021 updates to MATLAB, with all-new screenshots and up-to-date procedures Enhanced debugging procedures and use of the Symbolic Math Toolbox Brand new instruction on working with Live Scripts and Live Functions, designing classes, creating apps, and building projects Intuitive walkthroughs for MATLAB’s advanced features, including importing and exporting data and publishing your work Perfect for STEM students and new professionals ready to master one of the most powerful tools in the fields of engineering, mathematics, and computing, MATLAB For Dummies is the simplest way to go from complete newbie to power user faster than you would have thought possible.

In a crowded field of data visualization and analytics tools, Tableau Desktop has emerged as the clear leader. This is partly due to its ease of use, but once you dive into Tableau's extensive feature set, you'll understand just how powerful and flexible this software can be for your business or organization. With this handy pocket reference, author Ryan Sleeper (Innovative Tableau) shows you how to translate the vast amounts of data into useful information. Tableau has done an amazing job of making valuable insights accessible to analysts and executives who would otherwise need to rely on IT. This book quickly guides you through Tableau Desktop's learning curve. You'll learn: How to shape data for use with Tableau Desktop How to create the most effective chart types Core concepts including discrete versus continuous Must-know technical features including filters, parameters, and sets Key syntax for creating the most useful analyses How to bring it all together with dashboardsAnd more!

QUANTILE REGRESSION A thorough presentation of Quantile Regression designed to help readers obtain richer information from data analyses The conditional least-square or mean-regression (MR) analysis is the quantitative research method used to model and analyze the relationships between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables, where each equation estimation of a regression can give only a single regression function or fitted values variable. As an advanced mean regression analysis, each estimation equation of the mean-regression can be used directly to estimate the conditional quantile regression (QR), which can quickly present the statistical results of a set nine QR(τ)s for τ(tau)s from 0.1 up to 0.9 to predict detail distribution of the response or criterion variable. QR is an important analytical tool in many disciplines such as statistics, econometrics, ecology, healthcare, and engineering. Quantile Regression: Applications on Experimental and Cross Section Data Using EViews provides examples of statistical results of various QR analyses based on experimental and cross section data of a variety of regression models. The author covers the applications of one-way, two-way, and n-way ANOVA quantile regressions, QRs with multi numerical predictors, heterogeneous QRs, and latent variables QRs, amongst others. Throughout the text, readers learn how to develop the best possible quantile regressions and how to conduct more advanced analysis using methods such as the quantile process, the Wald test, the redundant variables test, residual analysis, the stability test, and the omitted variables test. This rigorous volume: Describes how QR can provide a more detailed picture of the relationships between independent variables and the quantiles of the criterion variable, by using the least-square regression Presents the applications of the test for any quantile of any numerical response or ­criterion variable Explores relationship of QR with heterogeneity: how an independent variable affects a dependent variable Offers expert guidance on forecasting and how to draw the best conclusions from the results obtained Provides a step-by-step estimation method and guide to enable readers to conduct QR analysis using their own data sets Includes a detailed comparison of conditional QR and conditional mean regression Quantile Regression: Applications on Experimental and Cross Section Data Using EViews is a highly useful resource for students and lecturers in statistics, data analysis, econometrics, engineering, ecology, and healthcare, particularly those specializing in regression and quantitative data analysis.

Nature-Inspired Computing Paradigms in Systems: Reliability, Availability, Maintainability, Safety and Cost (RAMS+C) and Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) covers several areas that include bioinspired techniques and optimization approaches for system dependability. The book addresses the issue of integration and interaction of the bioinspired techniques in system dependability computing so that intelligent decisions, design, and architectures can be supported. It brings together these emerging areas under the umbrella of bio- and nature-inspired computational intelligence. The primary audience of this book includes experts and developers who want to deepen their understanding of bioinspired computing in basic theory, algorithms, and applications. The book is also intended to be used as a textbook for masters and doctoral students who want to enhance their knowledge and understanding of the role of bioinspired techniques in system dependability. Provides the latest review Covers various nature-inspired techniques applied to RAMS+C and PHM problems Includes techniques applied to new applications

Harness the full power of the behavioral data in your company by learning tools specifically designed for behavioral data analysis. Common data science algorithms and predictive analytics tools treat customer behavioral data, such as clicks on a website or purchases in a supermarket, the same as any other data. Instead, this practical guide introduces powerful methods specifically tailored for behavioral data analysis. Advanced experimental design helps you get the most out of your A/B tests, while causal diagrams allow you to tease out the causes of behaviors even when you can't run experiments. Written in an accessible style for data scientists, business analysts, and behavioral scientists, thispractical book provides complete examples and exercises in R and Python to help you gain more insight from your data--immediately. Understand the specifics of behavioral data Explore the differences between measurement and prediction Learn how to clean and prepare behavioral data Design and analyze experiments to drive optimal business decisions Use behavioral data to understand and measure cause and effect Segment customers in a transparent and insightful way

Expert Data Modeling with Power BI provides a comprehensive guide to creating effective and optimized data models using Microsoft Power BI. This book will teach you everything you need to know, from connecting to data sources to setting up complex models that enable insightful reporting and business analytics. What this Book will help me do Gain expertise in implementing virtual tables and time intelligence functionalities in Power BI's DAX language. Identify and correctly set up Dimension and Fact tables using the Power Query Editor interface. Master advanced data preparation techniques to build efficient Star Schemas for modeling. Apply best practices for preparing and modeling data for real-world business cases. Become proficient in advanced features like aggregations, incremental refresh, and row-level security. Author(s) Soheil Bakhshi is a seasoned Power BI expert and author with years of experience in business intelligence and analytics. His practical knowledge of data modeling and approachable writing style make complex concepts understandable. Soheil's passion for empowering users to harness the full potential of Power BI is evident through his clear guidance and real-world examples. Who is it for? This book is perfect for business intelligence developers, data analysts, and advanced users of Power BI who aim to deepen their understanding of data modeling. It assumes a familiarity with Power BI's basic functions and core concepts like Star Schema. If you're looking to refine your modeling practices and create versatile, dynamic solutions, this resource is for you.

Discover the power of mixed models with JMP and JMP Pro. Mixed models are now the mainstream method of choice for analyzing experimental data. Why? They are arguably the most straightforward and powerful way to handle correlated observations in designed experiments. Reaching well beyond standard linear models, mixed models enable you to make accurate and precise inferences about your experiments and to gain deeper understanding of sources of signal and noise in the system under study. Well-formed fixed and random effects generalize well and help you make the best data-driven decisions. JMP for Mixed Models brings together two of the strongest traditions in SAS software: mixed models and JMP. JMP’s groundbreaking philosophy of tight integration of statistics with dynamic graphics is an ideal milieu within which to learn and apply mixed models, also known as hierarchical linear or multilevel models. If you are a scientist or engineer, the methods described herein can revolutionize how you analyze experimental data without the need to write code. Inside you’ll find a rich collection of examples and a step-by-step approach to mixed model mastery. Topics include: Learning how to appropriately recognize, set up, and interpret fixed and random effects Extending analysis of variance (ANOVA) and linear regression to numerous mixed model designs Understanding how degrees of freedom work using Skeleton ANOVA Analyzing randomized block, split-plot, longitudinal, and repeated measures designs Introducing more advanced methods such as spatial covariance and generalized linear mixed models Simulating mixed models to assess power and other important sampling characteristics Providing a solid framework for understanding statistical modeling in general Improving perspective on modern dilemmas around Bayesian methods, p-values, and causal inference

INTERMITTENT DEMAND FORECASTING The first text to focus on the methods and approaches of intermittent, rather than fast, demand forecasting Intermittent Demand Forecasting is for anyone who is interested in improving forecasts of intermittent demand products, and enhancing the management of inventories. Whether you are a practitioner, at the sharp end of demand planning, a software designer, a student, an academic teaching operational research or operations management courses, or a researcher in this field, we hope that the book will inspire you to rethink demand forecasting. If you do so, then you can contribute towards significant economic and environmental benefits. No prior knowledge of intermittent demand forecasting or inventory management is assumed in this book. The key formulae are accompanied by worked examples to show how they can be implemented in practice. For those wishing to understand the theory in more depth, technical notes are provided at the end of each chapter, as well as an extensive and up-to-date collection of references for further study. Software developments are reviewed, to give an appreciation of the current state of the art in commercial and open source software. “Intermittent demand forecasting may seem like a specialized area but actually is at the center of sustainability efforts to consume less and to waste less. Boylan and Syntetos have done a superb job in showing how improvements in inventory management are pivotal in achieving this. Their book covers both the theory and practice of intermittent demand forecasting and my prediction is that it will fast become the bible of the field.” — Spyros Makridakis, Professor, University of Nicosia, and Director, Institute for the Future and the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center (MOFC). “We have been able to support our clients by adopting many of the ideas discussed in this excellent book, and implementing them in our software. I am sure that these ideas will be equally helpful for other supply chain software vendors and for companies wanting to update and upgrade their capabilities in forecasting and inventory management.” — Suresh Acharya, VP, Research and Development, Blue Yonder. “As product variants proliferate and the pace of business quickens, more and more items have intermittent demand. Boylan and Syntetos have long been leaders in extending forecasting and inventory methods to accommodate this new reality. Their book gathers and clarifies decades of research in this area, and explains how practitioners can exploit this knowledge to make their operations more efficient and effective.” — Thomas R. Willemain, Professor Emeritus, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute.

Tableau 2021 brings a wide range of tools and techniques for mastering data visualization and business intelligence. In this book, you will delve into the advanced methodologies to fully utilize Tableau's capabilities. Whether you're dealing with geo-spatial, time-series analytics, or complex dashboards, this resource provides expertise through real-world data challenges. What this Book will help me do Draw connections between multiple databases and create insightful Tableau dashboards. Master advanced data visualization techniques that lead to impactful storytelling. Understand Tableau's integration with programming languages such as Python and R. Analyze datasets with time-series and geo-spatial methods to gain predictive insights. Leverage Tableau Prep Builder for efficient data cleaning and transformation processes. Author(s) Marleen Meier and David Baldwin are seasoned professionals in business intelligence and data analytics. They bring years of practical experience and have helped numerous organizations worldwide transform their data visualization strategies using Tableau. Their collaborative approach ensures a comprehensive, beginner to advanced learning experience. Who is it for? This book is perfect for business intelligence analysts, data analysts, and industry professionals who are already familiar with Tableau's basics and wish to expand their knowledge. It provides advanced techniques and implementations of Tableau for improving data storytelling and dashboard performance. Readers seeking to connect Tableau with external programming tools will also greatly benefit from this guide.

Use JSON theme files to standardize the look of Power BI dashboards and reports. This book shows how you can create theme files using the Power BI Desktop application to define high-level formatting attributes for dashboards as well as how to tailor detailed formatting specifications for individual dashboard elements in JSON files. Standardize the look of your dashboards and apply formatting consistently over all your reports. The techniques in this book provide you with tight control over the presentation of all aspects of the Power BI dashboards and reports that you create. Power BI theme files use JSON (JavaScript Object Notation) as their structure, so the book includes a brief introduction to JSON as well as how it applies to Power BI themes. The book further includes a complete reference to all the current formatting definitions and JSON structures that are at your disposal for creating JSON theme files. Finally, the book includes dozens of theme files, from the simple to the most complex, that you can adopt and adapt to suit your own requirements. What You Will Learn Produce designer output without manually formatting every individual visual in a Power BI dashboard Standardize presentation for families of dashboard types Switch presentation styles in a couple of clicks Save dozens, or hundreds, of hours laboriously formatting dashboards Define enterprise-wide presentation standards Retroactively apply standard styles to existing dashboards Who This Book Is For Power BI users who want to save time by defining standardized formatting for their dashboards and reports, IT professionals who want to create corporate standards of dashboard presentation, and marketing and communication specialists who want to set organizational standards for dashboard delivery

This book, "Interactive Dashboards and Data Apps with Plotly and Dash", is a practical guide to building dynamic dashboards and applications using the Dash Python framework. It covers creating visualizations, integrating interactive controls, and deploying the apps, all without requiring JavaScript expertise. What this Book will help me do Master creating interactive data dashboards using Dash and Plotly. Understand how to integrate controls such as sliders and dropdowns into apps. Learn to use Plotly Express for visually representing data with ease. Develop capabilities to deploy a fully functional web app for data interaction. Understand how to use multi-page configurations and URLs for advanced apps. Author(s) None Dabbas is a seasoned Python developer with extensive expertise in data visualization and full-stack development. Drawing from real-world experience, None brings a practical approach to teaching, ensuring that learners understand not only how to build applications but why the approach works. Who is it for? This book is ideal for data analysts, engineers, and developers looking to enhance their visualization capabilities. If you are familiar with Python and have basic HTML skills, you will find this book accessible and rewarding. Beginners looking to explore advanced dashboard creation without JavaScript will also appreciate the clear approach.

If you know how to program, you're ready to tackle Bayesian statistics. With this book, you'll learn how to solve statistical problems with Python code instead of mathematical formulas, using discrete probability distributions rather than continuous mathematics. Once you get the math out of the way, the Bayesian fundamentals will become clearer and you'll begin to apply these techniques to real-world problems. Bayesian statistical methods are becoming more common and more important, but there aren't many resources available to help beginners. Based on undergraduate classes taught by author Allen B. Downey, this book's computational approach helps you get a solid start. Use your programming skills to learn and understand Bayesian statistics Work with problems involving estimation, prediction, decision analysis, evidence, and Bayesian hypothesis testing Get started with simple examples, using coins, dice, and a bowl of cookies Learn computational methods for solving real-world problems

"Turn yourself into a Data Head. You'll become a more valuable employee and make your organization more successful."Thomas H. Davenport, Research Fellow, Author of Competing on Analytics, Big Data @ Work, and The AI Advantage You've heard the hype around data—now get the facts. In Becoming a Data Head: How to Think, Speak, and Understand Data Science, Statistics, and Machine Learning, award-winning data scientists Alex Gutman and Jordan Goldmeier pull back the curtain on data science and give you the language and tools necessary to talk and think critically about it. You'll learn how to: Think statistically and understand the role variation plays in your life and decision making Speak intelligently and ask the right questions about the statistics and results you encounter in the workplace Understand what's really going on with machine learning, text analytics, deep learning, and artificial intelligence Avoid common pitfalls when working with and interpreting data Becoming a Data Head is a complete guide for data science in the workplace: covering everything from the personalities you’ll work with to the math behind the algorithms. The authors have spent years in data trenches and sought to create a fun, approachable, and eminently readable book. Anyone can become a Data Head—an active participant in data science, statistics, and machine learning. Whether you're a business professional, engineer, executive, or aspiring data scientist, this book is for you.

Discover the role of machine learning and artificial intelligence in business forecasting from some of the brightest minds in the field In Business Forecasting: The Emerging Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning accomplished authors Michael Gilliland, Len Tashman, and Udo Sglavo deliver relevant and timely insights from some of the most important and influential authors in the field of forecasting. You'll learn about the role played by machine learning and AI in the forecasting process and discover brand-new research, case studies, and thoughtful discussions covering an array of practical topics. The book offers multiple perspectives on issues like monitoring forecast performance, forecasting process, communication and accountability for forecasts, and the use of big data in forecasting. You will find: Discussions on deep learning in forecasting, including current trends and challenges Explorations of neural network-based forecasting strategies A treatment of the future of artificial intelligence in business forecasting Analyses of forecasting methods, including modeling, selection, and monitoring In addition to the Foreword by renowned researchers Spyros Makridakis and Fotios Petropoulos, the book also includes 16 "opinion/editorial" Afterwords by a diverse range of top academics, consultants, vendors, and industry practitioners, each providing their own unique vision of the issues, current state, and future direction of business forecasting. Perfect for financial controllers, chief financial officers, business analysts, forecast analysts, and demand planners, Business Forecasting will also earn a place in the libraries of other executives and managers who seek a one-stop resource to help them critically assess and improve their own organization's forecasting efforts.

Prepare for Microsoft Exam DA-100 and help demonstrate your real-world mastery of Power BI data analysis and visualization. Designed for experienced data analytics professionals ready to advance their status, Exam Ref focuses on the critical thinking and decision-making acumen needed for success at the Microsoft Certified Associate level. Focus on the expertise measured by these objectives: Prepare the data Model the data Visualize the data Analyze the data Deploy and maintain deliverables This Microsoft Exam Ref: Organizes its coverage by exam objectives Features strategic, what-if scenarios to challenge you Assumes you are an experienced business intelligence professional or data analyst, or have a similar role Analyzing Data with Microsoft Power BI About the Exam Exam DA-100 focuses on skills and knowledge needed to acquire, profile, clean, transform, and load data; design and develop data models; create measures with DAX; optimize model performance; create reports and dashboards; enrich reports for usability; enhance reports to expose insights; perform advanced analysis; manage datasets, and create and manage workspaces. About Microsoft Certification Passing this exam earns your Microsoft Certified: Data Analyst Associate certification, demonstrating your ability to help businesses maximize the value of data assets by using Microsoft Power BI. As subject matter experts, Data Analysts design and build scalable data models, clean and transform data, and enable advanced analytic capabilities that provide meaningful business value through easy-to-comprehend data visualizations. See full details at: microsoft.com/learn

Explore the most serious prevalent ethical issues in data science with this insightful new resource The increasing popularity of data science has resulted in numerous well-publicized cases of bias, injustice, and discrimination. The widespread deployment of “Black box” algorithms that are difficult or impossible to understand and explain, even for their developers, is a primary source of these unanticipated harms, making modern techniques and methods for manipulating large data sets seem sinister, even dangerous. When put in the hands of authoritarian governments, these algorithms have enabled suppression of political dissent and persecution of minorities. To prevent these harms, data scientists everywhere must come to understand how the algorithms that they build and deploy may harm certain groups or be unfair. Responsible Data Science delivers a comprehensive, practical treatment of how to implement data science solutions in an even-handed and ethical manner that minimizes the risk of undue harm to vulnerable members of society. Both data science practitioners and managers of analytics teams will learn how to: Improve model transparency, even for black box models Diagnose bias and unfairness within models using multiple metrics Audit projects to ensure fairness and minimize the possibility of unintended harm Perfect for data science practitioners, Responsible Data Science will also earn a spot on the bookshelves of technically inclined managers, software developers, and statisticians.

Point and click your way to performing statistics! Many people are intimidated by learning statistics, but A Gentle Introduction to Statistics Using SAS is here to help. Whether you need to perform statistical analysis for a project or, perhaps, for a course in education, psychology, sociology, economics, or any other field that requires basic statistical skills, this book teaches the fundamentals of statistics, from designing your experiment through calculating logistic regressions. Serving as an introduction to many common statistical tests and principles, it explains concepts in an intuitive way with little math and very few formulas. The book is full of examples demonstrating the use of SAS Studio’s easy point-and-click interface accessed with SAS OnDemand for Academics, an online delivery platform for teaching and learning statistical analysis that provides free access to SAS software via the cloud. Studio in the Cloud Topics included in this book are: How to access SAS OnDemand for Academics Descriptive statistics One-sample tests T tests (for independent or paired samples) One-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) N-way ANOVA Correlation analysis Simple and multiple linear regression Binary logistic regression Categorical data, including two-way tables and chi-square Power and sample size calculations Questions are provided to test your knowledge and practice your skills.

Master advanced topics in the analysis of large, dynamically dependent datasets with this insightful resource Statistical Learning with Big Dependent Data delivers a comprehensive presentation of the statistical and machine learning methods useful for analyzing and forecasting large and dynamically dependent data sets. The book presents automatic procedures for modelling and forecasting large sets of time series data. Beginning with some visualization tools, the book discusses procedures and methods for finding outliers, clusters, and other types of heterogeneity in big dependent data. It then introduces various dimension reduction methods, including regularization and factor models such as regularized Lasso in the presence of dynamical dependence and dynamic factor models. The book also covers other forecasting procedures, including index models, partial least squares, boosting, and now-casting. It further presents machine-learning methods, including neural network, deep learning, classification and regression trees and random forests. Finally, procedures for modelling and forecasting spatio-temporal dependent data are also presented. Throughout the book, the advantages and disadvantages of the methods discussed are given. The book uses real-world examples to demonstrate applications, including use of many R packages. Finally, an R package associated with the book is available to assist readers in reproducing the analyses of examples and to facilitate real applications. Analysis of Big Dependent Data includes a wide variety of topics for modeling and understanding big dependent data, like: New ways to plot large sets of time series An automatic procedure to build univariate ARMA models for individual components of a large data set Powerful outlier detection procedures for large sets of related time series New methods for finding the number of clusters of time series and discrimination methods , including vector support machines, for time series Broad coverage of dynamic factor models including new representations and estimation methods for generalized dynamic factor models Discussion on the usefulness of lasso with time series and an evaluation of several machine learning procedure for forecasting large sets of time series Forecasting large sets of time series with exogenous variables, including discussions of index models, partial least squares, and boosting. Introduction of modern procedures for modeling and forecasting spatio-temporal data Perfect for PhD students and researchers in business, economics, engineering, and science: Statistical Learning with Big Dependent Data also belongs to the bookshelves of practitioners in these fields who hope to improve their understanding of statistical and machine learning methods for analyzing and forecasting big dependent data.